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Pre-Race Analysis for Varsity Women's Jessop-Whittier Cup
April 2, 2000

Washington looks like a wire-to-wire winner of the Jessop-Whittier Cup. After establishing a slight lead over Michigan in the first 500 meters, Washington should pull out to a 3/4 length lead at 1000m, hold it to 1500m, and move to a full length victory at the finish line.

Michigan is the favorite for 2nd place. If Michigan can bear down in the 2nd 500m interval and stay within a quarter length of Washington at 1000m, then Michigan may be in a position to make a credible challenge of Washington in the last 500m.

California, USC and Virginia could have an interesting time of it in the middle 1000 meters, jockeying for 3rd place. Virginia has a great 2nd 500 meters, but is slow in the first 500, and needs to stay with California and USC in the early going. If it does, and does not pay too dearly doing so, then Virginia could get 3rd place without having to row through California in the last 500 meters.

USC shows vulnerability in the 3rd 500 meter interval, and again in the last 500, and needs to stay with both California and Virginia through the third 500 to have a shot at 3rd place.

California should be there with Virginia over the last 1500 meters, and must do whatever it can to hold off Virginia whenever Virginia attempts to move by.

It is a toss up for 3rd place between Virginia and California.

Wisconsin just does not seem capable of staying with the others over the course. They might pick off USC, however, if USC blows out in the 3rd 500 trying to stay with California and Virginia.

A proforma of the finals race based on a straight mix of these crews' times in their respective heats follows.

 

                    2000 SAN DIEGO CREW CLASSIC         RACE # 234

                             PREDICTION

                    JESSOP WOMEN'S EIGHT FINALS


LANE CREW RELATIVE POSITIONS      WIND            ELAPSED   SPLIT
                            1500*  0 M/S    CREW   TIME     TIME
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+  
  6  USC    <USC                             WAS  1:34.95  1:34.95
  5  WIS       <WIS                          MIC  1:36.05  1:36.05
  4  VIR       <VIR                          USC  1:37.27  1:37.27
  3  CAL     <CAL                            CAL  1:38.86  1:38.86
  2  MIC  <MIC                               VIR  1:40.29  1:40.29
  1  WAS <WAS                                WIS  1:40.83  1:40.83
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            1000*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  USC      <USC                           WAS  3:19.10  1:44.14
  5  WIS          <WIS                       MIC  3:22.11  1:46.05
  4  VIR     <VIR                            VIR  3:23.22  1:42.93
  3  CAL      <CAL                           CAL  3:23.44  1:44.58
  2  MIC    <MIC                             USC  3:24.16  1:46.88
  1  WAS <WAS                                WIS  3:28.33  1:47.49
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            500 *
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  USC        <USC                         WAS  5:01.91  1:42.81
  5  WIS           <WIS                      MIC  5:04.89  1:42.77
  4  VIR       <VIR                          CAL  5:07.08  1:43.64
  3  CAL      <CAL                           VIR  5:07.42  1:44.20
  2  MIC    <MIC                             USC  5:08.79  1:44.63
  1  WAS <WAS                                WIS  5:11.80  1:43.47
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                          FINISH*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  USC          <USC                       WAS  6:43.60  1:41.68
  5  WIS             <WIS                    MIC  6:47.39  1:42.50
  4  VIR       <VIR                          VIR  6:49.42  1:42.00
  3  CAL       <CAL                          CAL  6:49.63  1:42.54
  2  MIC     <MIC                            USC  6:52.61  1:43.82
  1  WAS <WAS                                WIS  6:54.60  1:42.79
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+


COPYRIGHT 2000 ** JAMCO SOFTWARE FOR SPLITS ** RACE NO.  234 
http://www.jamcotimes.com

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